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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • All the news stories I’ve read have described the Ukrainian progress as “sluggish“ or “slower than desired“ but if it is true that they re-captured this much territory, I mean, that sounds pretty impressive. It’s like the media’s take is always exactly wrong. At the beginning, predicting that Kyiv would fall in days and then predicting that Russia would crumble in the summer. My prediction is that the narrative will shift to “Ukraine is winning“ at about the moment their progress stalls.