My understanding is we have evidence of slowdown but really don’t have the historical data to know when AMOC stops being driven, and it could take a century or two for the water to actually stop circulating.
Some outrage headlines have claimed it’s already collapsed and I don’t know if we have data to disagree with that
2025 is in less than 60 days. Much sooner than that would be like tomorrow.
My last reference was the 2050s “most likely due date”. That is bound to get revised radically towards the present, as more data is collected.
And at the very least, that entire range is going to be compressed towards the present as well.
My understanding is we have evidence of slowdown but really don’t have the historical data to know when AMOC stops being driven, and it could take a century or two for the water to actually stop circulating.
Some outrage headlines have claimed it’s already collapsed and I don’t know if we have data to disagree with that