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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • That is what’s happening.

    SpaceX knows which satellites were sold to the Ukrainian government though and could apply additional filtering. That’s the easiest first step.

    To prevent Ukrainian dishes from falling into Russian hands you’d also need some sort of rolling authentication code so the dish becomes inoperable after a period of time.

    Simply being in Russian territory doesn’t guarantee a Russian is using it as it could be Ukrainian special forces deep in enemy territory.



  • It was very obvious 2024 was not going to meet the 50% goal and they’ve been warning us for years about it.

    50% with some years over and some years under based on when we do vehicle launches is what they’ve been saying for quite a long time now.

    The only way 2024 was ever going to be above that trend line, or even in its vicinity is if the Gen 3 platform launched, and it’s been clear for over a year now this wasn’t happening in 2024.

    Probably like mid 2022 this was the obvious outcome for 2024.

    And yet everyone is acting like the sky is falling.

    The sky is falling when gen 3 comes out and it doesn’t sell well at reasonable profit. If it sells with reasonable profit, everyone is going to be hospitalized with whiplash as they start spiking deliveries again and March their way to 7-10 million vehicles based off the platform (multiple vehicles in the platform)

    But ya, 2024 is a dud year. It’s been a dud year vehicle wise for over a year already.









  • Boca Chica isn’t going to be the main launch center in the future due to things like the wildlife preserve around it. They’re going to be restricted at some point. It’s a R&D center.

    They could also build the solar/wind elsewhere to offset anything, or maybe they could even invest in a SMR. They’ll have the cash once those start coming online.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re investing money to optimize the process as well, just like we see new advances in desalination continually making it more efficient. (Edit: e.g https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.35848/1347-4065/ace831)

    Also even in Texas, it isn’t going to be coal forever, more and more renewable sources are being added to the grid every year. I’m not trying to say this will be an immediate thing.


  • They’ll probably build a solar farm.

    But don’t get me started on how there no such thing as carbon neutral because it took carbon to build the solar panels, or wind mills, and the person operating the facility had to eat vegetables which required someone to ship them, which required a EV which required power that came from solar but those solar panels which were made from panels produced via solar panels required someone else to clean them which produced co2 making their meals too!


  • Emissions are going to go down when starship is made as well.

    Starship uses a methane + oxygen fuel which burns cleaner, and can be produced with just water and CO2 making it carbon neutral.

    I don’t think every flight will be neutral immediately, or what % will be consistently once its scaled up, but it’ll be better.

    But 1 carbon neutral flight sending up hundreds of satellites will bring it down quickly. They could even save the carbon neutral flights for themselves for PR purposes.



  • When you sit in the car, it really doesn’t though. When you enable it, it clearly warns you about the dangers involved and to always pay attention. The radar versions even warned you about specific situations it would fail in and potentially cause a fatal accident. All cars that rely on radar have that issue and warn their users.

    Anyone who’s used it knows it clearly has problems, and honestly, it can be a little nerve racking getting used to using at first as well, because it does have problems and you need to learn them. My partner doesn’t like using it because of those problems.

    The majority of people causing accidents on it have simply grown accustomed to it. They know when it will usually fail, and then make poor choices and end up in a rare circumstance. People are just people and make all sorts of bad choices. Some people follow the GPS off a bridge or into a lake.

    That’s not to say I don’t think there’s room for Tesla to improve on this, like using the in cabin camera to further help detect if someone is paying attention or not, but ultimately it falls on the driver to pay attention.

    If you happen to be given a Tesla with AP already enabled on your profile, and you’ve only gone off what you heard in the media then sure maybe, but those aren’t the people causing problems. And really, if you rent a Tesla, I really do hope it’s all disabled by default so you have to turn it on and go through the setup. That would be a legit problem in my mind otherwise.